Monday 24th July
GBP Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI @ 9.30am
Forecast: 46.1/53.1
Friday 23rd June
Forecast: 46.9/54.8
Actual: 46.2/53.7 Worse than expected
GBPJPY
GJ spiked down before reversing and closing bullish and pushing up
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - GJ Buys
Worse than expected - GJ Sells
USD Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI @ 14.45pm
Forecast: 46.1/54.0
Friday 23rd June
Forecast: 48.6/53.9
Actual: 46.3/54.1
Mixed data
XAUUSD
Mixed numbers, small push up and then retraced previous bullish move
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - Gold Sells
Worse than expected - Gold Buys
Tuesday 25th July
USD CB Consumer Confidence @ 15.00pm
Forecast: 112.1
Tuesday 27th June
Forecast: 103.9
Actual: 109.7 Better than expected
XAUUSD
Gold broke previous lows pushed down 100pips
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - Gold Sells
Worse than expected - Gold Buys
Wednesday 26th July
USD Federal Funds Rate @ 19.00pm
Forecast: 5.50%
Wednesday 14th June
Forecast: 5.25%
Actual: 5.25% As expected
XAUUSD
Gold fell 140pips on the news and retested daily open
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - Gold Sells
Worse than expected - Gold Buys
Thursday 27th July
USD Advance GDP @ 13.30pm
Forecast: 1.7%
Thursday 27th April
Forecast: 2.0%
Actual: 1.1% Worse than expected
*Released with Weekly Unemployment Claims
XAUUSD
Initially pushed up but flipped bearish and made new lows
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - Gold Buys
Worse than expected - Gold Sells
Friday 28th July
JPY Monetary Policy Statement @ 4am
Forecast: -0.10% Interest Rate
Friday 16th June
Forecast: -0.10%
Actual: - 0.10%
GBPJPY
Initial push down for the news but very bullish for GJ throughout the day
Scenarios
Actual/Worse than expected - GJ Buys
Better than expected - GJ Sells
USD Core PCE Price Index m/m @ 13.30pm
Forecast: 0.2%
Friday 30th June
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%
XAUUSD
Gold pushed up and broke highs
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected - Gold Buys
Worse than expected - Gold Sells
Commentaires